PUBLISHED VALIDATION

See how modeled values compare with completed deals.

These are completed properties where we have both the original Invyzer analysis and the actual sale and rehab outcome. We publish the variance instead of only showing the model output.

Published completed deals4Current public validation set
Mean absolute ARV variance2.3%Across the published examples
Mean absolute rehab variance8.1%Against completed rehab totals
ARV within 3%3 / 4Published examples only
Small sample, shown transparently.

This is not a claim of platform-wide accuracy. The current public set contains four completed multi-state examples. As more completed outcomes are verified, the same methodology can be applied to the larger set.

Completed deal 01

2921 Wilkinson Pike, Maryville, TN

Invyzer ARV$398,000
Actual sale$397,500
ARV variance$500 high · 0.13%
Invyzer rehab$91,000
Actual rehab$96,480
Rehab variance$5,480 low · 5.7%
Completed deal 02

1919 Harvard St, Maryville, TN

Invyzer ARV$384,000
Actual sale$375,000
ARV variance$9,000 high · 2.4%
Invyzer rehab$97,500
Actual rehab$102,700
Rehab variance$5,200 low · 5.1%
Completed deal 03

620 Washington St, Daytona Beach, FL

Invyzer ARV$179,500
Actual sale$169,900
ARV variance$9,600 high · 5.7%
Invyzer rehab$36,501
Actual rehab$32,970
Rehab variance$3,531 high · 10.7%
Completed deal 04

1310 Holmes Dr, Colorado Springs, CO

Invyzer ARV$420,000
Actual sale$425,000
ARV variance$5,000 low · 1.2%
Invyzer rehab$79,000
Actual rehab$71,200
Rehab variance$7,800 high · 11.0%

How the variance is calculated

ARV variance compares the original modeled ARV with the final closed sale price. Rehab variance compares the original modeled rehab estimate with the completed rehab total. Percentage variance uses the actual outcome as the denominator.

ARV absolute percentage variance|Modeled ARV − actual sale| ÷ actual sale

Rehab absolute percentage variance|Modeled rehab − actual rehab| ÷ actual rehab

Published aggregateSimple mean of the absolute percentage variance across the published completed examples.

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